96th Academy awards meet on sunday candidate it includes Breaking box office recordsHollywood veterans, newcomers, and several others. epic drama Major studios and even bigger films compete for prestigious recognition. The 2024 Oscar voting promises to be an interesting night. So, ahead of the show, entertainment industry experts shared their predictions for the results of some of the top categories.
Who will win the Oscar for Best Picture?
“Oppenheimer” It is a clear frontrunner for the Best Picture Oscar. Christopher Nolan's epic historical drama about the nuclear physicist known as the “father of the atomic bomb” is leading the nominations at this year's Academy Awards, receiving 13 nominations.
This too has already been taken home. All Precursor Awards This season's awards ceremonies so far have included awards from the Film Critics Circle Awards and Golden Globe equivalents, as well as awards from the Screen Actors Guild, Directors Guild, Producers Guild and British Academy, with Sunday's It gave us a big hint as to how it would be evaluated in the Best Picture Award. Race.
“If 'Oppenheimer' didn't win, it would be a huge upset just because 'Oppenheimer' dominated,” said TV host and lifestyle expert Liliana Vasquez. Ta. news. “That's always a very important metric. If the individual guilds can all come together and decide on a clear winner, then you really pay attention to that particular movie, or that particular actor or actress, no matter what category it is.” I think you need to.”
It's rare for a film to enjoy such broad industry-wide support, and films like Argo and Slumdog Millionaire have typically gone on to win top Oscar honors in recent decades. is.
“I don't know if there's been an overwhelming favorite like 'Oppenheimer' for a while, but 'Oppenheimer' really is a favorite for Best Picture,” Fandango Editor-in-Chief Eric Davis praised the film. The film was praised for its achievements in various aspects, including the story, the cast's performances, cinematography, editing, and music.
“When all the parts of 'Oppenheimer' come together, it helps it cross the line for Best Picture, because it's not just an entertaining movie,” Davis added. “Overall, I think this movie is on a level to win an Oscar.”
Vasquez agreed with that opinion.
“Oppenheimer is like a key to me,” she said. “I think it hits on so many different levels. The style, the writing, the acting in that movie is so good. Sometimes when you watch these indie movies, people are like, 'I don't get it.' This is a topic that everyone can participate in.”
“Oppenheimer'' is the author of nine other works (“American Fiction,'' “Anatomy of a Fall,'' “Barbie,'' “The Holdovers,'' “Killers of the Flower Moon,'' It will compete for the Best Picture award alongside “Maestro'' and “Past Lives.'' “'Poor thing' and 'Interest zone'.
Experts doubt whether any of these titles will be able to beat out Nolan's film, noting that a loss to Oppenheimer in this category would likely be the shock of the night. There is.
“I think this is one of those versatile movies that can reach everyone, and as you know, we're always drawn to historical dramas,” he told Variety, which is also betting on Oppenheimer to win. magazine's television critic Aramide Tinubu said. “As funny as 'The Holdovers' was, and it has a historical setting, it's a quieter movie. Here in America, we love a good blockbuster.”
But strong candidates for Best Picture include Alexander Payne's nostalgic crowd-pleaser The Holdovers, Justine Triet's multilingual courtroom drama Anatomy of a Fall, or its follow-up. It could include Yorgos Lanthimos' quirky sci-fi comedy Poor Things. Oppenheimer was nominated for 11 Oscars.
“The most interesting thing about this year's race is that we don't even know what the runner-up will be,” said Joyce, entertainment journalist and senior editor at Hollywood-focused industry blog site Gold Derby. Mr. Eng said. Prize predictions. Mr. Eng is the site's director of digital, Christopher He, along with Mr. Rosen, co-hosts the podcast “The Gold Derby Show,'' where the two discuss and make predictions about awards season.
Rosen points out that Oppenheimer's expected victory in the Best Picture race is not only due to the fact that the film has been running smoothly in the awards race so far, but also because it has all the makings of a winner. did. In addition to being a historical biopic, the film was also a huge hit with critics and a success in theaters. Both Eng and Rosen said the film's dark horse early start may have contributed to its popularity.
“I think it was second only to 'Barbie' in terms of box office and press coverage, at least through the summer. So it had an underdog glow to it, even though it clearly wasn't,” Rosen said. said. “Oppenheimer'' is “in addition to being a steamroller, it is a perfect consensus movie.''
“Being the number one candidate, I wasn't tired,” Eng said. “I think that's the key.”
Who will win the Best Actor Oscar?
Similar to the competition for Best Picture, experts are largely in agreement on the outcome of the competition for Best Actor.Cillian Murphy He starred as the scientist of the same name. Murphy, who starred in “Oppenheimer,” is a favorite to win the award due to the movie's huge success, as well as Murphy's previous wins at the SAG Awards and BAFTAs, they said. The company said it has strong support from industry stakeholders who overlap with the voting demographic of the industry. .
“It's really hard to go against him. [Murphy] He won these two really important awards,” Eng said. “Kilian's only loss at the TV awards ceremony was to Paul Giamatti for the Critics' Choice, so I think it gave the impression that this race was closer than it actually was.” “
Eight of the last 13 Academy Awards for Best Actor have gone to actors who played real people, Vazquez said, adding, “People love stories that are grounded in reality.” Ta.
“Typically, playing a real person always seems to be advantageous, especially for Best Actor,” Rosen said. “And just the fact that 'Oppenheimer' is a front-runner for Best Picture… there's really no reason why Cillian Murphy didn't win this. And the fact that he won the precursor award… So I'm backing that up.'' I'd be pretty surprised if he lost on Oscar night. It's not unprecedented, but it's definitely surprising.”
Giamatti is nominated alongside Murphy in this category for his outstanding performance. Exasperated boarding school teacher “The Holdovers” also received praise. The two veterans are nominated for the Best Actor Oscar for the first time, and Giamatti's win comes after he was remembered as a notorious snub in the category for his performance in Payne's 2004 comedy-drama Sideways. It was the first time in 20 years.
As such, some say it's premature and plausible for Giamatti to win Best Actor. That's because he and Murphy won equal awards for comedy and dramatic acting at the Globes, and will likely be each other's biggest competitors for the rest of the awards season thereafter. .
“They've both won this award at different award shows, so I think it's definitely going to be a two-person race in this category,” Davis said. “Cillian Murphy is a little bit ahead of Paul Giamatti, but I think that's due to the fact that 'Oppenheimer' is the main front-runner and everything it has accomplished this year.”
Another nominee for the Oscar for Best Actor is Bradley Cooper for his role in “The Maestro.” Colman Domingo, “Rustin'' and Jeffrey Wright, “American Fiction.''
Who will win the Best Actress Oscar?
how Best Actress Award Sunday's race has become perhaps the most debated Oscar contest of the year. lily gladstone and emma stone “Killers of the Flower Moon” and “Poor Things” each featured a tense pace of acting, and each was hailed as a gem among those films.
“Both of these performances are very different from each other, as are the categories of actors,” Davis said. “Emma Stone's performance is more of a physical performance, more of a physical change, very external, very vibrant…whereas Lily Gladstone's performance is much more It’s quieter. It’s much more internal.”
The two women won separate Golden Globe Awards for Best Actress in Comedy and Drama, and Stone subsequently won at the Broadcast Film Critics Circle Awards and the BAFTAs.Gladstone won this award SAG Award In a historic victory, he became the first Indigenous actor to win the award. She also first native american If she wins, the actor will win an Oscar in this category.
“I'm torn. I can't decide between Lily Gladstone and Emma Stone,” Tinubu said. “I thought Lily would put up with it for a long time, but things started to accelerate for Emma as well. I loved 'Poor Thing' and it's my movie of the year. But… I think both women are very deserving, so I'm still a toss-up.”
“Poor People” was also Vasquez’s favorite movie of 2023. Although she described Stone's performance in her film as “perfect,” she still believes Gladstone will win her best actress award.
“Do I want to see Emma Stone win another Oscar? One hundred percent,” Vasquez said. “Does she deserve another Oscar for this role? Yes, because the physicality of the role matches the emotions and lines she delivers in the movie, which are just insane. .From that point of view, I'd love to meet her.''If Lily Gladstone wasn't in this race, I think she would win.
“As a woman of color, it's incredible that she is the first Indigenous actress to win this award, not just for her community, but for our country,” Vazquez continued. “And I think for her to shine like she does in a Scorsese movie and sharing the screen with Leonardo DiCaprio and Robert De Niro, that's the power. It's transcendent. ”
Overall, the competition in the category is fierce, with Gladstone and Stone up against Annette Bening, who is nominated for “Nyad,” Sandra Hüller for “Anatomy of the Fall,” and Carey Mulligan for “Maestro.” competing for the title.