The world of technology is a competitive world. Here are his three companies vying for investors' attention in the increasingly heated subsector of data analytics: snowflake (New York Stock Exchange: Snow), Palantir (NYSE:PLTR)and BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI). Snowflake and Palantir are established players, but BigBear.ai is a new name trying to carve a niche in this huge market. So should investors consider adding this up-and-coming data analytics expert to their stock portfolios?
BigBear.ai by the numbers
Let's take a look at the evaluation metrics in this area.
Snowflake boasts a high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 18.6 and has soared on a wave of investor optimism. Palantir's even better P/S ratio of 24.1 suggests he may be overvalued even compared to Snowflake. Meanwhile, BigBear.ai achieves his P/S ratio of more modes of 2.0.
Switching from sales-based metrics to profit-based metrics changes the equation dramatically. Snowflake and Palantir are trading at triple-digit multiples because they are ahead of earnings expectations. Their price-to-free cash flow ratio is between 60 and 80. That's a nosebleed, and more than enough to scare off value investors.
But BigBear isn't profitable in any meaningful way. The company recently achieved positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and operating cash flow, but that's only the lowest profit margin on a single-quarter basis. Although it's a great start, the subsequent fourth quarter results are still negative. Therefore, traditional valuation metrics are meaningless for this unprofitable company.
However, profit-based valuation is only one piece of the puzzle. The potential for sustainable business growth is critical to identifying future winners, especially in the growth-oriented technology sector. Snowflake boasts impressive historical and projected EPS growth, which somewhat justifies that premium. While Palantir has shown some decent growth, not everyone is completely convinced it can maintain its momentum. As a new company, BigBear.ai needs to prove its long-term growth trajectory.
At this point, BigBear hasn't even started the ignition process. While Snowflake and Palantir enjoyed solid revenue growth in 2023 due to the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, BigBear's revenue growth actually slowed.
brief overview
Now let's take a closer look at BigBear.ai and its big rivals.
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Snowflake: This data warehouse company is popular for its cloud-based platform and scalability. But its high valuation, limited profits and dependence on a few large customers are concerns for some investors.
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Palantir: This data analytics company is known for its work with government agencies and its focus on artificial intelligence. But its opaque business model and heavy reliance on government contracts have raised questions about its long-term prospects.
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BigBear.ai: This new hire will focus on artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions for government and commercial customers. While its low valuation and promising technology are attractive, its short history and low profitability pose major risks. Additionally, for better or worse, this company relies on government contracts to an even greater degree than Palantir.
To buy or not to buy, that's the question
So, is BigBear.ai stock a better buy today than Snowflake or Palantir?
The answer is complicated. Remember, while a low valuation may seem attractive, this young company still needs to prove itself. And as you can see in the earnings chart above, it's off to a relatively slow start.
For investors looking for a safer investment with proven growth, Snowflake may be a better choice despite its premium price. With its interesting technology and government ties, Palantir could be a great high-growth idea for companies looking to take on more risk.
BigBear.ai has unproven high growth potential, which may appeal to speculative investors who tolerate higher uncertainty. Keep in mind, until the company shifts its business into a higher gear, growth investors won't be paying much attention, and value investors aren't even looking at where BigBear.ai is headed yet. Thing.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in BigBear.ai will depend on your personal risk tolerance and investment goals. Carefully weigh the potential benefits and risks before making a decision. Personally, I would like to take another look at Snowflake and Palantir before putting real money into BigBear.ai stock.
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Anders Byland has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a position in and recommends Palantir Technologies and Snowflake. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Can I buy BigBear.ai stock now? Originally published by The Motley Fool